Drier Air Moving In

A cold front moved through the area last night and brought northerly winds today. Drier air is JUST to our north across Tennessee. This drier air will filter into the area overnight.

This is current temps at 3:30pm…
tair

The dewpoint map really shows the drier air to the north, with a dewpoint in the 50s across Tennessee, and 70s here in the Shoals area…
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The regional radar shows all of the precip to our south this afternoon.
Area Radar

Lows will dip into the upper 60s tonight over most of the area. Some of the normally cooler locations may even drop into the middle 60s.

Friday looks sunny and less humid with highs in the lower 90s.

Friday night will be mostly clear with lows in the middle 60s again.

We stay in the lower 90s for Saturday and Sunday with sunny skies.

The heat cranks back up a bit next week with highs back into the middle 90s for Monday through Wednesday. The next chance of rain and storms will be around the middle of next week.

Have a great Thursday evening!


Rain Tomorrow, Drier for the Weekend

Radar was quite active earlier today across the Shoals.  The main action has shifted South, away from the area, but Thursday could be a repeat.  The cold front will be pushing into the area by tomorrow morning.  Showers and storms could be ongoing in the morning into early afternoon and models clear the boundary through the area by Thursday evening.  Highs tomorrow should only make it into the low to mid 90s with scattered storms cooling off locations where they are.

A look at the dew points on the GFS for tomorrow morning at 10 am and tomorrow evening at 10 pm.  Stark difference between the 12 hours (blue indicates 70+ degree dew points and green is dew points in the 50s and 60s).  Warm, moist air ahead of the front will fuel showers and storms, but drier air toward the evening should clear things out.

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With the dew points dropping into the low to mid 60s, morning temps on Friday and Saturday could very well make it into the upper 60s!  Great treat for this time of year.

High pressure will settle into the region by Friday and with a northerly flow will usher in even drier air.  Some indications are that dew points could make it into the 50s.  That should certainly make the high temps for Friday and Saturday, which are expected to make it to near 90, feel a lot more bearable.  With upper troughing remaining to our East and ridging to our west, another reinforcing shot of some drier air makes it in for Sunday.  This will help keep dew points in the 60s and highs on Sunday in the low 90s.  No rain is expected.

Low level flow will return out of the South by Monday bringing back muggier air…after all this is summer.  Northwest flow will continue and little disturbances will be riding Southeast in the flow across the Shoals area.  I am going with very slim rain chances as of now and temps will be riding back into the low to mid 90s for Monday through Wednesday of next week.

 

 


More Clouds & Storms Possible Today

We had a round of late-night thunderstorms move into Hardin, Wayne and Lawrence counties in Tennessee around 11pm last night, but these storms completely fell apart as they moved into northern Alabama. Areas from Lexington to Anderson to Rogersville picked up some rainfall, but all others remained dry.

We have partly cloudy skies to start the day with temperatures in the middle to upper 70s. IR satellite this morning shows the thickest clouds centered across north Alabama.
g13.2015210.1215_MGM_ir

Radar this morning shows a few isolated showers across Marion, Franklin, Lawrence and Limestone counties, but all other locations are dry.
stormtrack

The Storm Prediction Center has all of our coverage area in a Marginal Risk for severe weather today. Any storm that develops will be capable of producing heavy rain, gusty winds and frequent lightning.
day1otlk_1300Risk_Categories

Showers and storms may continue into the evening hours tonight, but they should begin to taper off after midnight.

We will continue with a chance of rain and thunderstorms Thursday, but the front should be nearing the area by the afternoon…and this will help shift the rain and thunderstorms to the south of our area.

The front will usher in cooler temps for Friday and Saturday, with highs “only” in the lower 90s, and overnight lows possibly dropping into the 60s!

The cooler weather will not last for long. We heat back up into the upper 90s by Monday, and heat index readings will be well over 100 again.

Stay with Shoals Weather today and watch our live radar as the rain and storms develop.