Temperatures continue to warm, Rain early in the week, Turning cooler again

 

Temperatures will continue the moderating trend today, but it will be a good bit more cloudy.  We can’t rule out a stray shower or two as a disturbance tracks across areas to our south, but the more widespread rain looks to stay in central and southern areas of Mississippi and Alabama and then southward toward the Gulf Coast.  Afternoon highs today will be in the mid to upper 50s.  That warming trend continues into Monday with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 60s, a good ten degrees warmer than what we expect for today.

Organized rain chances return late in the day tomorrow, and especially tomorrow night and Tuesday.  Another disturbance approaches from the west, and this will be associated with a more significant cold front.  There may be a few showers in the afternoon, but the main rain chances will hold off until overnight.  Thunderstorm chances will increase after midnight and going into Tuesday.  We do not expect any organized severe weather this time, but we can’t rule out a strong storm with gusty winds on Tuesday as the front moves through.  Shower chances hang on through Tuesday night as the front sags southward into the area and cooler air moves into the area.

Rain associated with the cold front will end across the area Wednesday morning as colder air moves in, but shower chances linger through Thursday as a disturbance moves through the northern Gulf of Mexico.  This could otherwise be an interesting weather setup this time of year, but temperatures in this situation will not be cold enough for winter weather issues.

The high pressure area in the map above slides southeast over the area Friday, with our coldest temperatures of the week expected Friday morning, with lows currently expected to be in the mid 20s.  That high continues shifting east as we go into the weekend, and as winds swing around to the south, temperatures begin to warm again, with highs on Saturday expected to climb back into the 50s.