A little wintry weather today, dry for the weekend, rain returns next week

 

Rain is already starting to overspread the area during the predawn hours this morning, and that will only continue further as a disturbance moves through and interacts with moisture from the Gulf of Mexico.  At the same time, high pressure from the north will be pushing colder air southward into the area, and as we transition from one regime to another this morning, the weather may become a little interesting across the area for a few hours.  As cold air begins to deepen and precipitation gets heavier, we expect the northern edge of the rain mass to start mixing with and switch over to sleet and snow for a few hours.  The main potential for this will generally be near and north of U.S. Highway 72.  Temperatures will be several degrees above freezing, and ground and pavement temperatures will be in the mid 40s to low 50s; so, we are not expecting any major travel issues at all.  However, if a heavier snow band develops, there may be a brief time where bridges and elevated surfaces become slushy for an hour or two before melting takes over.  We definitely can’t rule out some light accumulation on grassy surfaces though.  The best chance of an inch or isolated higher amounts of accumulation would be in our southern Tennessee counties, but we can’t rule out a dusting or SLIGHTLY higher amounts on grassy areas as far south as Lauderdale, Colbert, and Limestone Counties of Alabama or Alcorn, Prentiss, and Tishomingo Counties of Mississippi.  Overall, this will be a very low impact event for everyone in our coverage area.

Rain ends later today, and then colder air moves in.  Overnight lows tonight will be down into the low to mid 20s for tonight and Friday night, and we only manage low to mid 40s for highs for your Friday, despite sunny skies.  Dry weather stays in place for the vast majority of the weekend before shower chances creep back into the forecast Sunday night.  We have a couple of rain “threats” from systems moving through the area early to middle of next week, but we don’t see any really impactful weather from either of those, at least at this time.  There may be a wintry threat *close by* by the middle of next week, but at least for now, it’s looking more and more like that will likely miss us.  Stay tuned as we work out the details over the coming days!