The Storm Prediction Center has all of the Shoals Weather coverage area in a risk of severe storms for today/tonight, with our risk being mainly during the evening and overnight hours. All of our Alabama and Mississippi counties are in a Level 1 of 5 risk while our Tennessee counties are in a Level 2 of 5 risk. Areas off to our north across northern Tennessee and west Kentucky and other adjacent areas are in a Level 3 out of 5 risk. That is where the main severe weather risk will be this afternoon and evening, well to the north of our coverage area. We will be watching for the remnants of these storms to sag southward across our coverage area during the evening and overnight. They will be weakening as they move in, but we can’t rule out a storm producing gusty winds or small hail. That means a stray severe thunderstorm warning or two is possible. We think any tornado threat will be to the north of our coverage area where storms will be stronger. The main timeframe for our coverage area is roughly 10:00pm tonight through about 4:00am Friday morning, but a few scattered showers and NON-severe storms are possible even during the daylight hours today.
Aside from the storms, it will be very warm and breezy today across the area under mostly cloudy skies. Winds will be out of the southwest at around 10 to 20 mph, and afternoon highs will get up into the mid and upper 70s across the area.
The overall forecast at first glance for the next seven days is a wet one, with a chance of rain every single day. Average rainfall amounts across the area for the next week will likely be in the 2 to 3 inch range. However, it won’t be a total washout. There will be periods of dry weather every day as well, but with a general southwest to west flow aloft, we won’t be getting rid of the shower chances any time soon. Afternoon highs each day will range from the mid 60s to the low 70s. The good news is that after the low severe weather risk this evening and tonight, we don’t see any signs of an organized risk of severe storms in our area for the remainder of the next seven days. We are in our spring tornado season though, and because of this, we will monitor that very carefully for changes.