Forecast Blog

A Soggy Sunday Ahead, Rain Chances Continue Through the Week


Expect a wet and pretty nasty Sunday across our area, a stark contrast to the Saturday we just enjoyed.  A few showers will be possible by morning, with rain only becoming more widespread and heavy by afternoon.  A few rumbles of thunder are possible, but we don’t expect any severe weather in our area.  Rainfall will be locally heavy at times, with the potential for many areas to see 2 or more inches of rain by Monday morning.  Expect more heavy showers and maybe a storm or two for Monday, as the storm system slowly tracks across the area.

At least a small chance of showers will be with us right through the rest of the week, with highs generally between the mid 60s and the lower 70s.  The chance of showers will gradually decrease (but not go away) as we approach the end of the week and toward next weekend.

Cooler for Thursday

A cold front moved through last night and this has brought yet another shot of cold air to the Tennessee Valley. We are waking up to temps in the 40s this morning, and we will struggle to get out of the 50s later today. Some locations may top out in the lower 60s for highs. The image below is the HRRR model highs for today…

Friday and Saturday looks mostly sunny and nice with temps in the upper 60s on Friday and lower to middle 70s on Saturday for highs. More clouds start to move in by Saturday afternoon and a chance of showers arrives Saturday night.

The models still have a big area of rain moving in for Sunday, so it looks to be a nasty day. This is the GFS model for 1pm Sunday…

Unfortunately this will be a slow moving system, so the chance of showers will continue for Monday and Tuesday.

We finally dry out by Wednesday and start to warm up a bit with highs back into the 70s.

Have a great Thursday!

Warm Wednesday…Cool End of the Week.

Highs on your Tuesday broke the mid 70s, which was a refreshing change of pace for the chilly last few days.  Wednesday will be very similar with highs pushing the mid 70s, but with a few more clouds.  The only weather of note will be some isolated showers later in the evening and overnight hours with a frontal boundary.

That frontal boundary will help bring a cooler airmass in from over the Northern U.S. snowpack.  Highs will drop back into the 60s for Thursday and Friday with overnight lows dropping into the upper 30s and 40s.  Some patchy frost in sheltered locations is possible yet again, so protect any sensitive vegetation Friday morning.  Things begin warming into Saturday ahead of Sunday’s system, but things will remain dry with highs in the 70s for Saturday.

Sunday, a cut off system will roll into the Southeast bringing some showers and maybe a rumble of thunder, but instability will be very limited with this system.  Widespread 1-1.5″ of rain is expected, but no severe weather will accompany this system.

This cut off will linger as it shifts east and will keep the Shoals region under clouds and showers into Monday.  The cooler airmass behind the system filters in bringing highs back down into the 60s.